
Federal spending stands 68% higher than pre-pandemic levels, draining America’s financial reserves and leaving the nation dangerously exposed when the next economic crisis strikes.
Story Snapshot
- Federal spending reached $7.4 trillion in FY 2026, a staggering $3 trillion increase from pre-pandemic levels, with no plan to restore fiscal discipline.
- The Congressional Budget Office warns the budget is on an unsustainable trajectory, with interest payments alone consuming $1.039 trillion annually—money that can’t respond to emergencies.
- Three-quarters of federal spending operates on autopilot through mandatory programs, stripping Congress of flexibility to reallocate resources during national crises.
- By 2036, federal debt will reach 120% of GDP—exceeding post-World War II records—while interest costs will devour more than 25% of all tax revenues.
Reckless Spending Leaves Nation Defenseless
The Congressional Budget Office’s latest projections expose a disturbing reality: federal outlays in FY 2026 total $7.4 trillion, representing 23.3% of GDP and a 68% surge above 2019 spending levels. This isn’t temporary emergency response—it’s a structural shift that has permanently expanded government. While revenues increased 62% to match some of this growth, the federal deficit still stands at $1.9 trillion annually. This spending binge didn’t just happen by accident; it reflects deliberate policy choices that prioritized government expansion over fiscal responsibility and American families’ long-term security.
Autopilot Budgeting Eliminates Emergency Response Options
The structure of federal spending has fundamentally changed in ways that handcuff future crisis response. Mandatory spending—Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and other entitlement programs—now consumes 75% of the budget, leaving only 25% as discretionary spending that Congress can actually control. This represents a complete reversal from 1974, when discretionary spending made up the majority of outlays. When the next recession, pandemic, or national security crisis arrives, policymakers will find their hands tied. The automatic spending increases built into these programs mean that even maintaining current service levels requires constant borrowing, leaving no fiscal room to maneuver when Americans need help most.
Interest Payments Crowd Out Essential Government Functions
Net interest outlays have reached $1.039 trillion in FY 2026, consuming 13.8% of total federal spending before a single dollar goes toward defense, infrastructure, or any actual government service. The CBO projects this figure will more than double to $2.144 trillion by 2036, when interest costs will represent 18.8% of all outlays and consume more than 25% of total tax revenues. Put simply, more than half of individual income taxes will go solely to paying interest on past borrowing. This isn’t just wasteful—it’s a direct threat to national security and domestic priorities, as dollars that should fund border protection or disaster relief instead flow to bondholders.
Inflation and Higher Rates Punish Working Families
The real-world consequences of this spending spree hit hardest at kitchen tables across America. Elevated federal spending fuels inflationary pressures that drive up costs for groceries, gas, and everyday essentials. High deficits push interest rates higher, making mortgages, car loans, and credit cards more expensive for families already struggling with Biden-era inflation. The CBO projects inflation will remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target through 2028, partly due to continued government overspending and new tariff policies. Meanwhile, high deficits crowd out private investment that would otherwise create jobs and raise wages, reducing economic dynamism and opportunity for American workers trying to get ahead.
The national debt trajectory tells the full story of fiscal irresponsibility. Total debt will grow from $38.5 trillion to $63.7 trillion by 2036, with debt held by the public reaching 120% of GDP—surpassing the previous record of 106% set in 1946 after financing World War II. Over the next decade, the federal government will spend $94.6 trillion while collecting only $70.2 trillion in revenues, adding $24.4 trillion to the deficit. This debt accumulation doesn’t just represent numbers on a spreadsheet—it represents reduced capacity to respond when disaster strikes, whether economic recession, natural catastrophe, or geopolitical threat requiring urgent action.
Future Generations Inherit Crippled Government
The Congressional Budget Office explicitly states the budget is on an unsustainable trajectory, with outlays remaining significantly above their 50-year historical average as a percentage of GDP through 2036. The agency identifies spending growth—particularly in mandatory programs like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid—as the primary driver of unsustainability, not insufficient revenues. This matters because it clarifies the solution: spending discipline, not tax increases. High and rising debt leads to higher interest rates, slower income growth, reduced economic dynamism, and diminished fiscal capacity precisely when government needs resources to protect citizens. Future Americans will inherit a government financially crippled before addressing their generation’s challenges.
The erosion of fiscal flexibility represents the hidden cost of today’s spending decisions. When three-quarters of the budget operates on autopilot and interest costs consume an ever-larger share of revenues, policymakers lose the ability to respond effectively to unexpected shocks. The next pandemic, major natural disaster, or economic recession will find the federal government with minimal fiscal space to deploy emergency relief, support struggling industries, or cushion the blow for American families. This vulnerability stems directly from the choice to maintain pandemic-era spending levels permanently rather than returning to sustainable baselines that preserve government’s capacity to act when crisis demands decisive intervention to protect American interests and security.
Sources:
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036 – Congressional Budget Office
An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036 – Congressional Budget Office
Deficit Tracker – Bipartisan Policy Center
An Update on the Federal Budget Outlook – Brookings Institution
A Look at Recent Developments in the Federal Fiscal Balance – St. Louis Federal Reserve
What Would a Fiscal Crisis Look Like? – Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget














