In a tense 2024 presidential race, former President Donald Trump is now leading President Biden in seven states.
According to a recent poll by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult, which asked people in seven swing states (Nevada, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin) who would vote for the president in the next election, Trump has a 48% to 44% advantage over Biden.
According to the report, Trump has gained support in many states, which Biden had previously won in 2020.
Arizona was a close battleground between Trump and Biden in 2020, but Trump now has a five-point advantage with 49% of the vote compared to 44% for Biden. The study did find Biden in the lead in one state, Michigan, but only by a hair, 46% to 45%.
Another state that Biden won in 2020, Georgia, is also favoring the former president. A margin of three points separates Trump and Biden in Georgia, with 47% to 44% for Trump.
Even though Biden won Pennsylvania in 2020, the survey showed that Trump is up there by two points, 48% to 46%.
At 47% to 46%, Trump has a slim edge in Wisconsin. Just months before the 2020 election, the survey found that Trump had an advantage in this state, making it the fourth one that Biden won.
Meanwhile, in Nevada, the candidates are neck and neck with 47% of the vote each, while in North Carolina, Trump has a seven-point lead (49% to 42%).
According to the most recent RCP poll, the 45th president is ahead of Biden by 4 to 12 points in the seven most competitive battleground states this cycle: North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia.
The leading presidential candidate has commanding leads in Arizona (+4.1) and Georgia (+4.0). Florida (+11.0) and Ohio(+10.0), two states that were once considered potential battlegrounds, are now not even in the race.
There is no denying the conclusion that explains this momentum. If the election were conducted today, President Trump would win with a wider electoral cushion than in 2016 and more popular votes than in 2020.
Today, Trump has every reason to believe that he will win every one of those battleground states and easily earn 312 electoral votes, giving him a comfortable lead in the Electoral College.
