Majority Of States Showing Decrease Or Stabilization Of Coronavirus Cases

( Johns Hopkins University released some encouraging analysis Friday.
The number of reported coronavirus cases are generally decreasing every day in 24 states. In another 17 states, the reported cases are remaining flat. In only nine states do the stats show new cases of coronavirus actually increasing.
Some say that is cause for at least a little celebration, especially as the United States as a whole has recorded more than 1.4 million coronavirus infections and more than 85,000 deaths related to COVID-19.
At the same time, plenty of others caution that while these stats are encouraging, it doesn’t signal that it’s time to let down the barriers we’ve built to stop the spread of the virus and suddenly return to life as we used to know it.
As states are beginning to re-open in varying degrees, the challenge isn’t just that more people will be in close contact with each other, it’s that it will take time before we know what the effect of that will be.
As Youyang Gu, a data scientist whose projection models have been cited by the CDC, said:
“It will be at least two to three weeks before we see an increase in the number of infections, because it takes time for individuals to infect others and for them to display symptoms. After displaying symptoms, it will still take a few days for the symptoms to worsen enough for the person to get tested. The test results can take a few days to get reported. At each stage, there’s a lag time.”
In other words, if reported cases don’t increase in the next few weeks, it’s not necessarily a sign that the virus isn’t spreading as states are loosening their restrictions. In fact, it could be spreading without anyone knowing, which could present a pretty dangerous outcome.
Even the hardest-hit state, New York, will begin re-opening parts of the state. On Friday, five regions will be allowed to re-open somewhat, although that doesn’t include New York City. And even as this is allowed to happen, Governor Andrew Cuomo expects numbers to rise:
“We’re starting to turn the activity valve. Watch what happens to the infection rate, testing rate, hospitalization rate. If those numbers start to move, slow down on the activity level.
“You will see an increase. We expect to see an increase. But that increase has to be monitored and has to be controlled.”
Even as states re-open, most Americans said they aren’t yet ready to return to their regular routines. A recent poll conducted by SSRS found 58% of people aren’t yet ready to return to their “normal lives.” The same poll that was conducted in early April found 60% of people weren’t yet comfortable.
So, even though an entire month has passed between the two polls, not many people have begun to feel more comfortable in resuming their pre-coronavirus routine.
That’s a stark change to the image that mainstream media is portraying when they show crowded bars and what looks like droves of people not caring about their health in relation to the coronavirus.