Excess inflation under Biden-Harris could pave the way for a Trump landslide in the upcoming election, according to a renowned economist’s predictive model.
At a Glance
- Economist Robert J. Gordon’s study suggests economic indicators favor Trump in the next election
- Biden’s “excess inflation” rate surpasses Trump’s, potentially swaying voter sentiment
- Historical accuracy of Gordon’s model predicts GOP advantage based on economic performance
- Economic challenges may outweigh negative media portrayals of Trump for undecided voters
- Model indicates a generic Republican candidate would win easily, though Trump’s unpopularity could affect results
Economic Indicators Point to Potential Trump Victory
As the political landscape heats up for the upcoming election, a new study by economist Robert J. Gordon suggests that the Biden-Harris administration’s economic performance, particularly regarding inflation, could significantly boost Donald Trump’s chances of reclaiming the White House. Gordon’s analysis, which focuses on growth per capita and “excess inflation” as key indicators, paints a picture that may have Democrats sweating and Republicans grinning.
Gordon’s model, which has historically been a reliable predictor of electoral outcomes, indicates that voters tend to prioritize their financial well-being over party loyalty. This spells trouble for the current administration, as inflation under Biden has been rising at a faster clip than during Trump’s tenure. The concept of “excess inflation” – the difference between current inflation rates and those of the previous administration – puts Biden’s economic record in an particularly unflattering light.
Breitbart Business Digest: Biden-Harris's 'Excess Inflation' Points to Big Trump Win https://t.co/2AFOgZy9FI
— Steve Ferguson (@lsferguson) October 29, 2024
Despite increased partisan loyalty in recent decades, Gordon’s model suggests that the state of the economy remains a central factor in how people cast their ballots. This emphasis on financial strain could drive undecided voters towards the GOP, even in the face of negative media coverage surrounding Trump. It seems that when wallets are pinched, voters are more inclined to seek change, regardless of the messenger.
The implications of Gordon’s analysis are clear: financial hardship leads voters to demand new leadership, underscoring the economy’s role as a decisive electoral force. This dynamic poses a significant challenge for the Biden-Harris team, who must now contend with the tangible effects of their economic policies on everyday Americans.
While Gordon’s model predicts that a generic Republican candidate would win handily, Trump’s polarizing nature introduces an element of uncertainty.
Like it or not, some people are scared of voting for Trump – and part of the problem is certainly the unfair coverage from the media.
Nevertheless, the former president’s track record on the economy during his term may serve as a powerful counterpoint to current economic woes. As voters grapple with the impact of inflation on their daily lives, Trump’s promises of economic revival could resonate strongly.
It’s worth noting that while the media often focuses on various political controversies, Gordon’s research suggests that pocketbook issues ultimately drive voter behavior. This disconnect between media narratives and economic realities may explain why polling and punditry have struggled to accurately gauge public sentiment in recent elections.
With just a week to go, Kamala has a lot of ground to cover…and on the economy, she’s unlikely to beat Trump no matter how hard she tries. And it’s her own fault.
